Nexus

Focus

  • Protecting Europe
  • Migration policy
  • Global crises
  • Post Cold War

Protecting Europe from its paradoxes

European citizens are almost homogenously turning to governments that are promising more "security" and more "protection" from today's challenges and threats. European leaders' discourse has downgraded the commitment to growth, cohesion and convergence. Similarly, self-interest policies overrun the pledge to inclusiveness, deregulation, competition and competitiveness. A re-mix of sovereign-style power and ethno-economic identity make the new euro-conservatism entangle both the idea of progress as well the one of liberty and liberism. The new euro-conservatism appears primarily anti-reformists...

Resilience | Monday, 2 February 2009

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Divisions of labour: rethinking Europe's migration policy

There are three main migration challenges for Europe: Flow. Migratory pressure is on the increase as the populations of poorer countries in the greater neighbourhood of the European Union become more mobile. Stock. EU member states with a significant stock of immigrants are confronted with a major integration challenge as the aspirations of many second-generation migrants are frustrated by poor education and poor labour market performance. If integration policies fail, large ethnic underclasses may become a permanent feature in the EU Talent. Global competition for high-skilled workers has int...

European Affairs | Tuesday, 21 October 2008

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Beyond Black & White: The Public Affairs of Global Crises

Most public affairs people know how to cope with a crisis.  They have the knowledge, contacts and experience to predict change in a policy sector with a high degree of confidence.  They make their living by influencing the outcome of change.  It gets more interesting when the need is to understand the interaction of different sectors in crisis.  The Institute for Environmental Security explored this dangerous territory in early September with a seminar in Brussels entitled “The Perfect Storm: Trade, Finance & Climate in 2009”.  It started off as an examination of the climate-frien...

European Affairs | Tuesday, 30 September 2008

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The End of Happy Endings in the Post-Cold War

Russia’s mauling of Georgia was a game-changing geopolitical development for Western democracies – above all, for Europe. For Russia, it is a conquest, and a diminished Georgia will need determined Western help to retain a fig leaf of viability. It is time to re-examine the assumption – left unexamined for too long – that time was working to bring about a happy ending to the cold war, with Russia moving along the lines that the West has been following since NATO enlargement a decade ago. Instead, Moscow has changed a national boundary by force of arms and will probably incorporate Sout...

European Affairs | Monday, 20 October 2008

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New Atlantic

Obama: First Moves

Three weeks after the U.S. presidential election, we are getting the first signs of how President-elect Barack Obama will govern. That now goes well ...

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Towards a Grand Strategy for an Uncertain World

In every country, and at all times, we like to rely on certainty. But in a world of asymmetric threats and global challenges, our governments ...

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The Blueprint For Change - Barack Obama

I believe it’s critically important that those of us who want to lead this nation be open, candid, and clear with the American people about ...

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The future of the Royal Navy?

The UK defence budget is tight. Defence spending plans are tighter still.  I want to offer a quick thought or two on how the credit ...

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The Future of Resilience

“Don’t get involved in partial problems, but always take flight to where there is a free view over the whole single great problem, even if ...

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Time for a U.S.-Iranian 'Grand Bargain'

The next U.S. president, whether it is John McCain or Barack Obama, should reorient American policy toward the Islamic Republic of Iran as fundamentally as ...

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The Future of the G8: From "Library Group" to G13?

Over the last few years, the annual G8 summits have attracted more attention than ever before in the history of this group of states originally ...

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Which Idea Will Dominate the 21st Century?

The most influential force in the world is the idea. Gods, priests, kings, dictators, democrats, terrorists, anarchists all need an idea to justify themselves. It ...

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A tale of two futures

Never make predictions, especially about the future, is a wise piece of advice. But prophecy can also be understood as "suggesting the possible." The possible ...

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The End of the End of History

Why the twenty-first century will look like the nineteenth. "The global competition between democratic governments and autocratic governments will become a dominant feature of the twenty-first-century ...

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More in: New Atlantic

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Eurasia

Kosovo and the Future of Balkan Security

On 17 February 2008, the Assembly of Kosovo declared the independence of this territory, which has been formally part of Serbia but under international ...

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More in: Eurasia

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Chindia

Red Alert: Possible Geopolitical Consequences of the Mumbai

If the Nov. 26 attacks in Mumbai were carried out by Islamist militants as it appears, the Indian government will have little choice, politically ...

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India: The Need to React

A massive and well-organized attack by militants in Mumbai, India, has left nearly 100 people dead so far, promises to cut deeply into India’s ...

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India's Quest for Continuity in the Face of Change

Unlike the dominant sentiment in the United States and many other countries for change in Washington, New Delhi seeks continuity in its engagement with the ...

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Crash and Burn: How the global economic crisis could bring d

Normally, the Pearl River Delta, a manufacturing hub in southern China, whirs with the sound of commerce. Alongside massive new highways, clusters of factories churn ...

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The Rise of the Indian Economy: Transatlantic and Global Imp

2005, for the first time in over 100 years, emerging economies accounted for more than half of the world’s GDP in purchasing power parity ...

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Reassessing the Fleeting Potential for U.S.- China Cooperati

Four years ago, I wrote in the pages of this Journal how the United States and China share vital interests in Central Asia and should ...

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China's Integration of Xinjiang with Central Asia: Securing

Sinkiang, in its pivotal position in the heart of Asia, will most rapidly transmit to India, Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Iran the news that passes from ...

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China's Central Asian Strategy and the Xinjiang Connection:

Following the disintegration of the Soviet Union in the early 1990s, the PRC (People's Republic China) has been facing unprecedented challenges, new opportunities as well ...

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The End of History? - Certainly Not Through Asia's Eyes

The rise of Asia is a zero-sum game, which necessarily means the relative decline of the West. This outcome has gained an extra edge because ...

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India and the financial crisis: between damage control and t

In the months running up to the Day that Lehman Died, India's financial regulators were concerned only about slaying the dragon of inflation. And with ...

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More in: Chindia

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Nexus
Red Alert: Possible Geopolitical Consequences of the Mumbai Attacks

If the Nov. 26 attacks in Mumbai were carried out by Islamist militants as it appears, the Indian government will have little choice, politically speaking, but to blame them on Pakistan. That will in turn spark a crisis between the two nuclear rivals that will draw the United States into the fray.

Last Updated on Wednesday, 18 February 2009 12:43
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Obama: First Moves

Three weeks after the U.S. presidential election, we are getting the first signs of how President-elect Barack Obama will govern. That now goes well beyond the question of what is conventionally considered U.S. foreign policy — and thus beyond Stratfor’s domain. At this moment in history, however, in the face of the global financial crisis, U.S. domestic policy is intimately bound to foreign policy. How the United States deals with its own internal financial and economic problems will directly affect the rest of the world.

Last Updated on Monday, 23 February 2009 11:08
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Kosovo and the Future of Balkan Security

On 17 February 2008, the Assembly of Kosovo declared the independence of this territory, which has been formally part of Serbia but under international administration since 1999. Although, with this decision, which came after 2 years of failed negotiations over the final status of the province, Kosovar authorities hoped to put an end to an ambiguous situation and close the final chapter of the dissolution of the former Yugoslavia, Kosovo's unilateral declaration of independence has in reality created new challenges and new uncertainties.

 

As of 17 October 2008 Kosovo's independence had been recognized by 51 countries, mostly in Europe. Others - including most prominently Russia, but also a number of European countries - have made it clear that they will not recognize an independent Kosovo. Belgrade has also called the decision illegal and officially maintains its claim of sovereignty over Kosovo.

 

Although some serious incidents have followed the 17 February declaration, the security situation in the region has remained relatively calm. The worst scenarios that had been put forward before the declaration of independence - mass exodus of the Kosovo Serbs, boycotts imposed by Belgrade, or even military action - have hitherto not materialized. However, the current situation is very precarious and many unresolved issues remain.

Last Updated on Wednesday, 18 February 2009 12:31
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Divisions of labour: rethinking Europe's migration policy

There are three main migration challenges for Europe:

Flow. Migratory pressure is on the increase as the populations of poorer countries in the greater neighbourhood of the European Union become more mobile.

Stock. EU member states with a significant stock of immigrants are confronted with a major integration challenge as the aspirations of many second-generation migrants are frustrated by poor education and poor labour market performance. If integration policies fail, large ethnic underclasses may become a permanent feature in the EU

Talent. Global competition for high-skilled workers has intensified owing to skillbiased technological change and globalisation, and the EU struggles to attract and retain top talent.

Last Updated on Monday, 02 February 2009 22:28
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India's Quest for Continuity in the Face of Change
Unlike the dominant sentiment in the United States and many other countries for change in Washington, New Delhi seeks continuity in its engagement with the next U.S. administration. Although much of the world cannot wait to see the back of the Bush administration, New Delhi, in contrast, immensely values the historic changes already wrought by the Clinton and Bush administrations in the U.S. approach to India.

President Bill Clinton ended the historic U.S. tilt toward Pakistan in its protracted conflict with India over Jammu and Kashmir. President George W. Bush has sought to resolve the long-standing U.S. dispute with India on nonproliferation with a civil nuclear initiative that integrates India into the global order on terms favorable to New Delhi. Such a partnership is important for both countries, the South Asian region, policy toward Iran, and the management of China's rise.

by C. Raja Mohan, The Washington Quarterly

Attachments:
Download this file (08autumn_mohan.pdf)Read the full article
Last Updated on Tuesday, 24 February 2009 12:55
 
Towards a Grand Strategy for an Uncertain World

In every country, and at all times, we like to rely on certainty. But in a world of asymmetric threats and global challenges, our governments and peoples are uncertain about what the threats are and how they should face the complicated world before them. After explaining the complexity of the threats, the authors assess current capabilities and analyse the deficiencies in existing institutions, concluding that no nation and no institution is capable of dealing with current and future problems on its own. The only way to deal with these threats and challenges is through an integrated and allied strategic approach, which includes both non-military and military capabilities. Based on this, the authors propose a new grand strategy, which could be adopted by both organisations and nations, and then look for the options of how to implement such a strategy. They then conclude, given the challenges the world faces, that this is not the time to start from scratch. Thus, existing institutions, rather than new ones, are our best hope for dealing with current threats.

Last Updated on Wednesday, 18 February 2009 12:09
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