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Three weeks after the U.S. presidential election, we are getting the first signs of how President-elect Barack Obama will govern. That now goes well beyond the question of what is conventionally considered U.S. foreign policy — and thus beyond Stratfor’s domain. At this moment in history, however, in the face of the global financial crisis, U.S. domestic policy is intimately bound to foreign policy. How the United States deals with its own internal financial and economic problems will directly affect the rest of the world.
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Last Updated on Monday, 23 February 2009 11:08 |
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Towards a Grand Strategy for an Uncertain World |
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In every country, and at all times, we like to rely on certainty. But in a world of asymmetric threats and global challenges, our governments and peoples are uncertain about what the threats are and how they should face the complicated world before them. After explaining the complexity of the threats, the authors assess current capabilities and analyse the deficiencies in existing institutions, concluding that no nation and no institution is capable of dealing with current and future problems on its own. The only way to deal with these threats and challenges is through an integrated and allied strategic approach, which includes both non-military and military capabilities. Based on this, the authors propose a new grand strategy, which could be adopted by both organisations and nations, and then look for the options of how to implement such a strategy. They then conclude, given the challenges the world faces, that this is not the time to start from scratch. Thus, existing institutions, rather than new ones, are our best hope for dealing with current threats.
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Last Updated on Wednesday, 18 February 2009 12:09 |
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The Blueprint For Change - Barack Obama |
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I believe it’s critically important that those of us who want to lead this nation be open, candid, and clear with the American people about how we will move forward. So I hope this booklet gives you a good sense about where I stand on the fundamental issues facing our country.
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Last Updated on Sunday, 22 February 2009 20:45 |
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The future of the Royal Navy? |
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The UK defence budget is tight. Defence spending plans are tighter still. I want to offer a quick thought or two on how the credit crunch may offer an opportunity to explore new missions for each of the three services.
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Last Updated on Sunday, 22 February 2009 20:40 |
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“Don’t get involved in partial problems, but always take flight to where there is a free view over the whole single great problem, even if this view is not a clear one.” Ludwig Wittgenstein, 1914.
I’d like to thank David Omand for his kind introduction. I was honoured to be asked to return to RUSI – and especially delighted to find that I was speaking at a session chaired by David.
I am sandwiched between two distinguished speakers – both of whom are talking about specific future challenges (climate change and emerging diseases). I am therefore going to take a slightly different tack, looking at: How resilience can help us think about the complex and unstable world we live in.
How it helps join up our thinking about a series of disparate challenges. The role that this process of connecting the dots can play in what, at a global level at least, seem certain to be turbulent times. In other words, I am going to talk less about a specific future challenge to resilience, and more about the future of resilience thinking itself – arguing for the power of resilience as a lens through which we can unify our thinking about future challenges.
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Last Updated on Sunday, 22 February 2009 20:40 |
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New Atlantic